Putin ‘may very well be tempted’ to assault ‘margins of EU and NATO’
Russia: Vladimir Putin ‘is an opportunist’ says Diggins
Russia may assault the weaker EU and NATO members if confronted with a nationwide disaster, Categorical.co.uk was advised. It comes because the nation’s defence minister on Monday mentioned its navy will type 20 new models within the nation’s west to counter what he described as a rising menace from NATO. Sergei Shoigu made the announcement at a gathering with prime navy officers, and pointed to a rising variety of flights by US strategic bombers close to Russia’s borders, deployments of NATO warships and more and more frequent and large drills by alliance forces.
He charged that such actions “destroy the international security system and force us to take the relevant countermeasures.”
He mentioned: “We will form another 20 units and formations in the Western Military District until the year’s end”, including that the navy models in Western Russia have commissioned about 2,000 new items of weaponry this 12 months.
Professor Julian Lindley-French, an internationally recognised strategic analyst and advisor in defence argues that President Vladimir Putin “could be tempted” to assault these nations that sit on the margins of NATO and the EU who’re weaker than the organisation’s primary members.
The veteran analyst has lately co-authored the e-book, ‘Future Warfare’, exploring how the US and Europe may consolidate their navy forces within the face of accelerating threats from the likes of Russia and China, in addition to dealing with new and leading edge methods of battle.
Vladimir Putin: The Russian President may very well be tempted to assault the margins of the EU and NATO
Sergei Shoigu: Russia’s defence minister introduced it could type 20 new models amid NATO exercise
He mentioned Mr Putin was greater than conscious of Europe’s “strategic illiteracy”, and that he may benefit from it ought to the nation face a home disaster.
Prof Lindley-French advised Categorical.co.uk: “Putin is very aware that Europeans in particular have become strategically illiterate when it comes to risk of force in international relations.
“So many European leaders merely are wholly uncomfortable with the truth that power nonetheless has a component to play in worldwide relations, and deterrents and defence are constructed upon it.
“And though there have been modest will increase in defence budgets since 2014, in relative phrases there may be nonetheless a decline.
NATO: Russia says the US is too active in its border regions
“Russia is not a menace to the likes of Britain, France or Germany as a result of it would not conceive of attacking the large powers.
“However on the margins of NATO, or the EU, across the Arctic belt, the Baltic states, by the Black Sea and into the Mediterranean, Russia may very well be tempted if it was in a home disaster or happening an journey.
“The regime is constructed on a story of nationalism, a story of Russia being a sufferer or the West, of being threatened, in case you have the power and the chance as a result of Europe has weakened its defences, there may come some extent when Putin is tempted to make use of it.”
Many of the regions Prof Lindley-French spoke of contain former Soviet Republics, a number of which Russia continues to have close ties with, like Belarus.
Russian fury as EU accused of ‘confrontational’ plan [REPORT]
France warned Frexit movement will grow as it gives power to EU [INSIGHT]
Putin ‘tempted to use or lose’ his military arsenal against West [ANALYSIS]
Georgia: NATO troops pictured at a base in George which borders Russia
Russian military: Russian soldiers pictured training
In a bid to flex its military muscles, earlier this year Mr Putin piled Russia’s western border with Ukraine in Crimea – which it annexed in 2014 – with 100,000 troops.
Nothing came of the move, but Prof Lindley-French says exercises like this are intended to gauge a country’s future ability to defend itself.
In Belarus, Russia has come to President Alexander Lukashenko‘s aid after the EU and other Western countries slapped tough sanctions on the country.
This was after Mr Lukashenko was accused of hijacking a Ryanair flight containing opposition activist and journalist Roman Protasevich, who has since been jailed.
Putin profile: The former KGB officer has been president on two separate occasions
Future War: The book explores the future war threats Europe and the US face
Russia has defended Belarus, with analysts suggesting Moscow stands to profit from Belarus’ additional estrangement from the West.
The nation described the uproar over the flight being apprehended as “surprising” and accused the West of having double standards.
Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Maria Zakharova wrote on Facebook: “It’s surprising that the West calls the incident in Belarusian airspace ‘surprising’.”
Belarus: Alexsander Lukashenko and Putin pictured on his yacht in the Black Sea
It has since given President Lukashenko two $500million (£352m) loans.
Mr Putin and Lukashenko met over the weekend for talks.
The Russian chief handled him to a yacht tour within the Black Sea resort of Sochi.
‘Future Warfare and the Defence of Europe’, written by John R. Allen, Frederick Ben Hodges, and Julian Lindley-French, is printed by Oxford College Press and out now.